Desert Winds Could Help Predict Monsoon Breaks, Offering Crucial Early Warning for Farmers: Study
Dry desert winds flowing from the west and northwest of India may hold the key to predicting monsoon break periods, potentially giving farmers valuable time to prepare for rainfall deficits, according to a new study.
Published on February 10, 2026, in the Journal of Climate, the research analysed data spanning more than eight decades and found a strong link between dry air intrusions and pauses in the Southwest Monsoon.
The Southwest Monsoon accounts for more than 75% of India’s annual rainfall between June and September. However, it is marked by intermittent “break” periods days or weeks when rainfall significantly decreases across much of the country, while increasing in the Himalayan foothills and parts of the Northeast. These breaks can severely affect agricul...









