New Study Reveals Flaws in Climate Models: Future Permafrost Loss in Asia’s ‘Frozen Giants’ Less Severe Than Predicted
In a groundbreaking study, scientists from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics at the Chinese Academy of Sciences have exposed significant overestimations in climate models predicting permafrost loss in High Mountain Asia (HMA). Known for its vast frozen carbon reserves, HMA has been at the center of global climate concerns. However, the latest research reveals that by fine-tuning model sensitivity to align with realistic warming projections, the feared permafrost degradation may be significantly less severe than previously believed.
The study, published in Geophysical Research Letters, finds that previous climate models with overly high equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) levels have led to exaggerated warming predictions, distorting forecasts for permafrost loss across HMA. With ne...
