A potential “Super El Nino” developing in 2026 could intensify droughts, floods, food insecurity and wildfires across several regions, according to experts.
The climate pattern, which occurs naturally every two to seven years, is expected to strengthen during late 2026 and early 2027. A very strong event could push Pacific Ocean temperatures more than 2°C above average, disrupting weather patterns worldwide.
Regions including central and northern India, Central America, parts of Africa, Indonesia, the Philippines and Australia could face worsening drought and water shortages. Meanwhile, other areas may experience heavier rainfall and flooding.
Food systems could face additional pressure as extreme heat drought and flooding affect crops and livestock. Rising fuel and fertilizer costs may further reduce farmers’ ability to cope with climate shocks.
Forests are also at risk. Hotter and drier conditions linked to El Niño could increase wildfire activity, particularly in South America, Southeast Asia, Australia and Canada. Experts warn that severe fire impacts in the Amazon could peak in 2027.
Scientists stress that early action, improved water management, climate resilient agriculture, stronger fire prevention and better early warning systems will be critical to reducing the potential impacts of a powerful El Niño.