
Rethinking Wildfire Models: Experts Call for New Tools to Protect Communities
WASHINGTON – As wildfires increasingly encroach on urban areas, a new report highlights a critical gap in traditional wildfire risk modeling. For decades, these models have focused on how fire spreads through natural vegetation like forests and grasslands. However, recent urban fire disasters in Lahaina, Hawaii, and Los Angeles have exposed a need for next-generation models that can accurately predict how fires spread from home to home.
Wildfire models primarily reflect fire behavior in natural settings and do not yet fully account for the complex factors of the built environment. According to a report from Headwaters Economics, in partnership with Pyrologix and the U.S. Fire Administration, the intense heat, embers, and debris from burning structures and vehicles are driven by local fa...